Hezbollah Maintains Defense Lines with Israel but Faces Internal Struggles and Loss of Public Support

Hezbollah has reportedly restored some of its defense lines along the Israel-Lebanon border, but the organization remains far from regaining its pre-war offensive capabilities, according to sources within the Shiite bloc. These sources estimate that Hezbollah has not yet recovered the military strength it possessed before the recent conflict. While the group maintains an ambiguous stance on reports of its current status, internal discussions suggest it is hesitant to launch another major military operation without clear political support from key Lebanese figures, including Speaker of the Parliament and Amal leader Nabih Berri.

At the same time, Hezbollah faces increasing challenges within Lebanon. The Lebanese army recently seized a truck containing the group’s explosives and has refused to return it, despite significant pressure from the government and judiciary. This firm stance, even when former leader Nabih Berri opted to defer the decision to the court, is seen as a signal to both the Lebanese public and the international community that Hezbollah is committed to its policy of non-reversal.

Hezbollah’s difficulties are compounded by a growing disconnect with the Shiite community in southern Lebanon. Public support for another military confrontation with Israel has significantly declined, with many Shiites now prioritizing the return of displaced persons to their homes, despite the extensive destruction in the region. A Shi’ite source noted that Hezbollah is under the mistaken belief that it can “earn time” for rebuilding efforts under the guise of Israeli elections, but this assessment is viewed as misguided, as Israeli policy toward Lebanon is not expected to shift.

The internal divisions within Hezbollah are further highlighted by the organization’s reliance on ultra-Orthodox communities for support. These groups, known as Haredim, are seen as a key base for Hezbollah’s continued operations. However, the group’s broader appeal among the Shiite population has weakened, reflecting a shift in priorities and a loss of public confidence. This internal strife and external pressure underscore the challenges Hezbollah faces in maintaining its influence and military readiness.

Source: Read the original report (translated from Hebrew)