Journalist Predicts Netanyahu Defeat, Smotrich Surge Tonight

Veteran journalist Yossi Elituv has issued a stark prediction ahead of tonight’s exit polls, suggesting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud party are facing a significant defeat, while Religious Zionism chairman Bezalel Smotrich could see a sharp rise in support. Elituv posted on X, stating, “Bibi heading for crushing defeat tonight, only a miracle will save him.” He attributed Likud’s losses to shifting dynamics within the right-wing bloc, noting the growing appeal of Smotrich across various factions.

Elituv highlighted the evolving political landscape, identifying the source of Likud’s decline as a surge in support for Smotrich. He noted, “I’ve been trying in recent days to understand how the surge toward Smotrich crosses camps, to the point where he may find himself marching shoulder to shoulder with Itamar Ben-Gvir.” This shift reflects a broader realignment within the right-wing electorate, with Smotrich drawing from new constituencies.

The commentator outlined the differing dynamics between Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit, emphasizing Smotrich’s ability to attract a diverse voter base. Elituv explained, “Ben-Gvir brings the votes of the radical right. But with Smotrich, a more interesting movement is taking shape: on one hand, new chareidi voters drawn to Leitner; on the other, disappointed Likudniks who find it easier to vote for him than for Ben-Gvir.” This blend of support is expanding Smotrich’s influence beyond his traditional base.

According to Elituv, the convergence of these groups with Smotrich’s existing support is creating a significant impact at the polls. He stated, “All of these join his home crowd in the settlements, and expand the circle of voters far beyond the boundaries of the public whose flag he carries. We started counting him at four mandates, and according to my assessment this morning, tonight could end with eight as well, maybe more.” This potential surge underscores the transformative nature of the current election.

Elituv concluded his analysis by emphasizing the significance of this development, stating, “If this materializes, it’s one of the big stories of these elections. Worth putting a big spotlight on Smotrich today. He’s dining at many tables, and the main bill, in my assessment, will be paid by Likud.” This shift highlights the complex interplay of political forces shaping the election outcome.

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