Expert Warns Iran Could Strike First, Shifting Pressure Toward Gulf States

An expert on Iran, Dani Sitrinovich, warned on Radio 103FM that Iran could strike first. He described that scenario as quite realistic and outlined what the next phase of confrontation in the Middle East might look like.

Asked how Iran could attack Israel, Sitrinovich said Tehran had already invested heavily in rebuilding its military capabilities, particularly the missile systems it has tried to restore after earlier attacks. “The Iranians have invested a great deal in rebuilding their military systems and are also trying to re-establish the production of missiles, although they have so far achieved only partial success,” he said.

He added that Iran was seeking to improve the accuracy of its missiles and to find ways of overcoming the Israeli air defence system, and that it was continuing to work on the possibility of missile attacks on Israel.

Sitrinovich believes that, in the event of a new stand-off, the most significant changes may affect the Gulf countries rather than the Israeli front, which he estimated may be one of the main objectives of Iran’s strategy. “In the case of Israel, of course, the Iranians will try to attack us again, but the changes will be linked to the countries of the Persian Gulf,” he said. He added that Iran “will target data processing centres and everything related to artificial intelligence, will try to cut the Internet cables passing under the Strait of Ormuz, and may even invade Kuwait and Bahrain.”

He said Iran may try to disable data processing centres linked to artificial intelligence development and disrupt undersea Internet cables that pass through the Strait of Ormuz, which could be among Tehran’s actions in a new military conflict. The expert also allowed for a direct invasion of Kuwait and Bahrain by Iranian forces. Matthew 5:9 offers a sober frame for such warnings, since the prospect of new fighting makes the pursuit of peace more urgent (Matthew 5:9).

Sitrinovich stressed that if Iran changed the way it operates, the Gulf States and the American military presence in the region would most likely be the main targets of pressure. “If we see a change in the way Iran operates, it will be directed primarily against the Gulf countries; in our case, the situation will be about the same as before,” he said. He concluded that Iran’s main objective would be “to harm the States of the Persian Gulf and the American presence in those countries.”

Source: Read the original report (translated from Russian)